J/ApJS/239/2ivo://CDS.VizieR/J/ApJS/239/2doi:10.26093/cds/vizier.22390002CDSBarclay T.Pepper J.Quintana E.V.2019-02-04T09:00:42Z2019-01-25T12:51:31ZCDS support team

CDS, Observatoire de Strasbourg, 11 rue de l'Universite, F-67000 Strasbourg, France

cds-question@unistra.frmultiple-starsastronomical-modelsinfrared-photometrystellar-radiistellar-massesstellar-distanceThe Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) has a goal of detecting small planets orbiting stars bright enough for mass determination via ground-based radial velocity observations. Here, we present estimates of how many exoplanets the TESS mission will detect, the physical properties of the detected planets, and the properties of the stars that those planets orbit. This work uses stars drawn from the TESS Input Catalog (TIC) Candidate Target List and revises yields from prior studies that were based on Galactic models. We modeled the TESS observing strategy to select approximately 200000 stars at 2-minute cadence, while the remaining stars are observed at 30-minute cadence in full-frame image data. We placed zero or more planets in orbit around each star, with physical properties following measured exoplanet occurrence rates, and used the TESS noise model to predict the derived properties of the detected exoplanets. In the TESS 2-minute cadence mode we estimate that TESS will find 1250+/-70 exoplanets (90% confidence), including 250 smaller than 2R_{Earth}_. Furthermore, we predict that an additional 3100 planets will be found in full-frame image data orbiting bright dwarf stars and more than 10000 around fainter stars. We predict that TESS will find 500 planets orbiting M dwarfs, but the majority of planets will orbit stars larger than the Sun. Our simulated sample of planets contains hundreds of small planets amenable to radial velocity follow-up, potentially more than tripling the number of planets smaller than 4R_{Earth}_ with mass measurements. This sample of simulated planets is available for use in planning follow-up observations and analyses.2018ApJS..239....2Bhttps://cdsarc.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/cat/J/ApJS/239/2CatalogResearchIsServedByTAP VizieR generic serviceIsServedByConesearch servicerelated-toJ/other/Sci/330.653 : Detected planets in the Eta-Earth Survey (Howard+, 2010)J/A+A/549/A109 : HARPS XXXI. The M-dwarf sample (Bonfils+, 2013)J/ApJ/767/95 : Improved parameters of smallest KIC stars (Dressing+, 2013)J/ApJS/208/9 : Intrinsic colors and temperatures of PMS stars (Pecaut+, 2013)J/ApJ/770/69 : Kepler planet candidates radii (Petigura+, 2013)J/ApJ/795/64 : A catalog of exoplanet physical param. (Foreman-Mackey+, 2014)J/ApJS/211/2 : Revised properties of Q1-16 Kepler targets (Huber+, 2014)J/ApJ/791/10 : Radii of planets around cool stars (Morton+, 2014)J/ApJ/809/8 : Terrestrial planet occurrence rates for KOIs (Burke+, 2015)J/ApJ/807/45 : Potentially habitable planets around M dwarfs (Dressing+, 2015)J/ApJ/814/130 : Planet occurrence rates calculated for KOIs (Mulders+, 2015)J/ApJ/809/77 : Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) (Sullivan+, 2015)J/ApJ/828/99 : Kepler transit signal recovery. III. (Christiansen+, 2016)J/ApJS/226/7 : Planet cand. discovered using K2's 1st yr (Crossfield+, 2016)J/ApJ/844/102 : KIC star plx from asteroseismology vs Gaia (Huber+, 2017)J/ApJS/229/30 : Revised properties of Q1-17 Kepler targets (Mathur+, 2017)J/ApJS/235/38 : Kepler planetary cand. VIII. DR25 reliability (Thompson+, 2018)J/ApJS/236/42 : Asteroseismology of ~16000 Kepler red giants (Yu+, 2018)J/ApJS/239/5 : Variable stars and cand. planets from K2 (Crossfield+, 2018)J/AJ/155/39 : Variability of TESS sources with KELT (Oelkers+, 2018)http://archive.stsci.edu/tess/ : TESS MAST home pagehttp://tess.mit.edu/ : TESS home pagehttps://cds.unistra.fr/vizier-org/licences_vizier.htmlhttps://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/ApJS/239/2https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/ApJS/239/2http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/ApJS/239/2https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/ApJS/239/2https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/ApJS/239/2http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/ApJS/239/2GETtext/xml+votablehttps://tapvizier.cds.unistra.fr/TAPVizieR/tapCone search capability for table J/ApJS/239/2/table2 (Planet and host star properties for every detected planet in our simulation)https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJS/239/2/table2?https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJS/239/2/table2?http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJS/239/2/table2?GETtext/xml+votable180.050000true10.68252-7.7893250.0055555555555555565/2370 5046 8258 8282 8283 8290 8305 9740 6/1 46 51 83 194 491 622 755 793 803 810 813 820 825 826 850 896 913 914 927 959 970 977 992 1085 1109 1122 1142 1150 1185 1212 1243 1253 1281 1282 1289 1300 1325 1342 1386 1388 1430 1433 1446 1455 1458 1470 1472 1488 1498 1516 1530 1541 1563 1613 1647 1672 1678 1729 1731 1732 1741 1749 1752 1768 1770 1777 1778 1790 1798 1809 1837 1845 1848 1872 1888 1895 1901 1912 1932 1955 1970 1973 1988 1992 2003 2012 2022 2028 2039 2041 2048 2050 2062 2104 2117 2133 2143 2166 2169 2175 2201 2204 2255 2283 2288 2293 2329 2336 2342 2354 2365 2371 2374 2376 2392 2395 2412 2416 2423 2424 2432 2458 2465 2483 2510 2515 2523 2530 2538 2539 2573 2581 2602 2612 2614 2618 2644 2654 2671 2684 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42907 42946 43010 43016 43044 43047 43055 43056 43057 43061 43067 43069 43081 43084 43086 43088 43095 43105 43135 43138 43145 43154 43177 43180 43184 43192 43211 43216 43243 43252 43255 43264 43279 43280 43305 43319 43338 43343 43397 43398 43401 43422 43424 43430 43431 43441 43470 43488 43501 43547 43580 43597 43626 43632 43675 43733 43736 43759 43782 43785 43787 43795 43831 43844 43846 43855 43870 43896 43899 43906 43908 43920 43922 43937 43946 43962 43970 43974 44004 44022 44023 44029 44040 44046 44052 44060 44066 44067 44113 44116 44118 44124 44140 44142 44147 44153 44156 44162 44164 44192 44194 44204 44207 44227 44234 44534 44561 44563 44569 44572 44587 44678 44684 44691 44713 44721 44888 44915 44926 44977 44991 45040 45058 45062 45068 45078 45096 45097 45105 45158 45188 45206 45220 45237 45246 45256 45266 45303 45310 45313 45336 45340 45342 45361 45389 45394 45397 45404 45415 45441 45461 45463 45483 45495 45506 45511 45514 45516 45518 45535 45553 45556 45581 45584 45599 45607 45625 45626 45631 45642 45672 45688 45697 45719 45724 45732 45738 45747 45761 45762 45771 45780 45795 45837 45856 45899 45902 45910 45917 45933 45949 45955 45957 45964 45991 45997 46022 46023 46026 46084 46101 46177 46204 46207 46210 46246 46264 46278 46291 46324 46375 46378 46383 46387 46398 46401 46424 46426 46432 46445 46513 46514 46525 46573 46588 46592 46610 46613 46630 46646 46654 46659 46679 46682 46687 46693 46706 46717 46734 46743 46788 46804 46895 46896 46899 46936 46955 46975 47007 47099 47100 47114 47119 47131 47154 47163 47165 47178 47182 47183 47201 47203 47204 47229 47236 47241 47245 47261 47273 47274 47277 47280 47309 47310 47313 47324 47333 47354 47364 47382 47395 47414 47424 47441 47445 47452 47462 47465 47483 47492 47530 47547 47566 47579 47595 47613 47617 47632 47633 47645 47647 47650 47665 47670 47677 47680 47696 47702 47746 47757 47760 47776 47789 47791 47794 47802 47840 47843 47845 47870 47898 47899 47911 47936 47953 47970 47988 48027 48067 48143 48172 48186 48205 48211 48219 48269 48273 48361 48438 48445 48485 48883 48884 48887 48889 48987 48990 49015 49020 49021 49022 49049 49093 49099 49104 49112 49119 49129 49135 491478.650015785639275e-20 1.7003137259100215e-19https://cdsarc.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/moc/J/ApJS/239/2?format=asciiInfrareddefaultJ/ApJS/239/2/table2Planet and host star properties for every detected planet in our simulationKmag[1.7/14.2] 2MASS Ks-band magnitudemagphot.mag;em.IR.KfloatPerp[0.5/99.4] Orbital period of the planetdtime.perioddoublerecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintTICID[144875/471012687] TESS Input Catalog ID number of starmeta.id;meta.mainlongRAJ2000Right ascension, decimal degrees (J2000)degpos.eq.ra;meta.mainDEJ2000Declination, decimal degrees (J2000)degpos.eq.dec;meta.mainELONEcliptic longitude, decimal degreesdegpos.ecliptic.lonELATEcliptic latitude, decimal degreesdegpos.ecliptic.latdoublePrior[0/1] Candidate Target List (CTL) v6.1 prioritymeta.codefloat2min[0/1] Was this a 2-minute cadence target in our model? 1=yes; 0=nometa.codeintCam[1/4] TESS camera numbermeta.id;instrintObslen[27.4/356.2] Number of days that target is observeddtime.intervalfloatNsec[1/13] Number of sectors the target is observed formeta.idintVmag[4/20] V-band magnitudemagphot.mag;em.opt.VfloatJmag[2.3/15] 2MASS J-band magnitudemagphot.mag;em.IR.JfloatTmag[3.4/16.4] TESS bandpass magnitudemagphot.mag;em.opt.RfloatR*[0.1/11.5] Stellar radiussolRadphys.size.radiusfloatMass[0.06/2.5] Stellar masssolMassphys.massfloatTeff[2763/11565] Stellar effective temperatureKphys.temperaturefloatDist[2.5/15349]? Distance of the starpcpos.distance;pos.heliocentricdoublenullablesG[0/1] Was this star randomly selected to be a subgiant? 1=yes; 0=nometa.codeintDet[1] Was this planet detected? 1=yes (always "1")meta.codeintDetC[0/1] Was this planet detected using the conservative model? 1=yes; 0=nometa.codeintRp[0.6/22] Radius of the planet(6.3781x10+6m)phys.size.radiusfloatNt[2/425] Number of transits the planet hasmeta.numberintArs[1/243.5] Planet semimajor axis scaled by the stellar radiusphys.angSize.smajAxisfloatEcc[9e-06/0.5] Planet orbital eccentricitysrc.orbital.eccentricitydoubleRprs[0.005/0.4] Planet radius scaled by the stellar radiusphys.size.radiusdoubleImpact[0/1] Planet impact parametersrc.impactParamfloatDur[0.3/37.934] Planet transit durationhtime.durationfloatObsdepth[25.6/92074] The observed transit depth, corrected for dilution in parts per millionsrc.var.amplitudedoubleInsol[0.06/242177] Insolation flux the planet receives relative to that received by the Earth from the Sunphot.flux;arith.ratiodoubleNoise[60/18605] The one-hour integrated noise level of the star in parts per millioninstr.det.noisedoubleSNR[7/1542] Combined signal-to-noise ratio of all transitsstat.snrdouble2MDisplay the 2MASS data (Cutri et al. 2003, Cat. II/246)meta.ref.urlchar