J/A+A/709/A60ivo://CDS.VizieR/J/A+A/709/A60doi:10.26093/cds/vizier/bc-p5/lgaCDSGolonka J.Maciejewski G.2026-05-19T14:14:26Z2026-05-05T11:49:41ZCDS support team

CDS, Observatoire de Strasbourg, 11 rue de l'Universite, F-67000 Strasbourg, France

cds-question@unistra.frmultiple-starsexoplanetsorbitsvisible-astronomyTidal interactions shape the evolution of close-in giant planets, and internal-gravity-wave breaking offers an efficient pathway for dynamical-tide dissipation, though its population-wide impact remains poorly constrained. We aim to quantify wave-breaking tidal dissipation for 550 hot Jupiters, accounting for stellar-parameter uncertainties, and to identify the most promising systems for detecting orbital decay through transit timing. Stellar masses, radii, and ages were homogeneously redetermined from spectroscopic and photometric data using isochrone fitting. For each system, these parameters were propagated through a dedicated MESA model grid to calculate the tidal quality factor, wave-breaking probability, orbital decay rate, and transit- timing diagnostics. Long-term orbital evolution was modelled to predict planetary destruction timescales. Wave breaking is predicted to be largely inactive in pre-intermediate-age main sequence (IAMS) stars. For hosts with masses <1.2M_{sun}_, it becomes effective after the IAMS, while in more massive stars it begins between the IAMS and the terminal-age main sequence (TAMS). The tidal quality factor for systems undergoing wave breaking peaks between 10^6 and 10^7, consistent with population-level inferences. About 43 % of planets, mostly with periods <3.5d, are expected to inspiral on the main sequence, providing a physical explanation for the observed tendency of hot Jupiters to orbit younger stars. A further 41 % inspiral during post-main- sequence evolution within the stages considered. Roche-limit disruption dominates overall, with engulfment occurring mainly for planets with periods > 5-6d. Systems with periods <1d, that could in principle experience the strongest tidal forcing, are unlikely to trigger wave breaking, leaving planets on stable orbits. Conversely, the most rapidly inspiralling systems with high wave-breaking probability may display measurable orbital-period shortening only over multi-decade baselines, eluding immediate detection. By contrast, the demographic imprint of wave breaking on occurrence rates should emerge more readily, with the first signs already visible in current population statistics.2026A&A...709A..60Ghttps://cdsarc.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/cat/J/A+A/709/A60CatalogResearchIsServedByTAP VizieR generic serviceIsServedByConesearch servicerelated-toJ/AcA/68/371 : WASP and KELT planet transits (Maciejewski+, 2018)J/AcA/70/1 : WASP-18 Photometric timeseries and timing dataJ/A+A/667/A127 : Photometric timeseries and transit times (Maciejewski+, 2022)https://sweetcat.iastro.pt : SWEET-cat Home Pagehttps://cds.unistra.fr/vizier-org/licences_vizier.htmlhttps://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/A+A/709/A60https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/A+A/709/A60http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/A+A/709/A60https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/A+A/709/A60https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/A+A/709/A60http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/A+A/709/A60GETtext/xml+votablehttps://tapvizier.cds.unistra.fr/TAPVizieR/tapCone search capability for table J/A+A/709/A60/tablea1 (Spectroscopic and general parameters of the studied systems)https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/conesearch/J/A+A/709/A60/tablea1?https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/conesearch/J/A+A/709/A60/tablea1?http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/conesearch/J/A+A/709/A60/tablea1?GETtext/xml+votable180.050000true102.079885-3.10214190.0055555555555555566/267 340 437 790 876 913 935 960 1066 1292 1546 1814 1823 1971 2250 2297 2308 2404 2532 2551 2555 2581 2584 2596 2711 2715 2740 2873 2953 2987 3227 3344 3536 3828 3994 4040 4054 4145 4241 4269 4272 4280 4659 4730 4799 4866 4990 5170 5475 5730 6017 6058 6124 6181 6228 6381 6539 6638 7036 7208 7447 7502 7632 7649 7652 7917 7941 8197 8235 8237 8825 8864 8921 8992 9173 9355 9459 9482 9524 9651 9811 10066 10118 10407 10637 10654 10701 10730 10953 10981 11087 11105 11267 11279 11451 11686 11703 11730 11896 11908 12046 12058 12260 12342 12424 12436 12486 12644 12853 12862 12983 13250 13439 13472 13569 13680 13702 14054 14553 14567 14583 14586 14735 14762 14772 14779 14816 14825-14826 14828 14886 14914 14929 14936 14961 14963 14971 14973 14993 15029 15033 15040 15104-15105 15109 15112 15122 15143 15145-15146 15153 15155 15160 15162 15169-15170 15218 15550 15817 15913 15927-15928 15950 15956 16022 16074 16083 16165 16301 16316 16366 16405 16432 16512 16534 16633 16742 16768 16947 17040 17106 17162 17172 17202 17226 17300 17430 17605 17753 17851 17865 18093 18208 18223 18437 18452 18459 18510 18569 18696 18766 18880 18943 19024 19371 19442 19730 19829 20116 20186 20339 20382 20453 20455 20476 20501 20565 20648 20659 20682 20690 20701 20741 20780 20790 20819 20872 21026 21176 21254 21461 21477 21645 21820 21876 21921 21989 22001 22034 22040 22065 22078 22120 22168-22169 22208 22216 22331 22396 22505 22519 22816 22896 23301 23636 23667 23734 24039 24057 24115 24122 24409 24428 24479 24602 24617 24622 24702 24752 24815 24858 24981 25132 25140 25153 25194 25283 25427 25433 25454 25604 25635 25721 25794 25885 25950 26019 26297 26658 26727 26771 26844 26918 26992 27018 27021 27324 27488 27780 28154 28433 28485 28724 28821-28822 29002 29012 29017 29045 29683 30013 30077 30157 30240-30241 30293 30344 30436 30439 30444 30447 30450-30451 30456 30466 30485 30801 31541 31641 31794 31813 32148 32155 32217 32387 32564 32640 32659 32727 32749 32778 32862 33157 33200 33220 33257 33279 33283 33285 33719 33798 34223 34370 34471 34566 34626 34630 34643 34708 34722 34751 34755 34812 34847-34848 34860 34898 34940 34957 34986 35210 35301 35456 35486 35696 35938 35993 36142 36165 36196-36197 36223 36497 36667 36794 36893 36930 37146 37246-37247 37263 37313 37329 37393 37696 37839 37923 37963 38199 38233 38246 38248 38263 38348 38381 38435 38452 38644 38682 38746 38783 39006-39007 39198 39255 39403 39474 39487 39512 39542 39611 39652 39673 39812 39829 39851 40014 40022 40189 40194 40251 40320 40347 40573 40669 40754 40862 41179 41578 41986 42001 42522 42827 42865 42936 42981 42989 43180 43233 43247 43257 43336 43544 43586 43623 43625 43656 43775 43847 43850 43864-43865 43960 44041 44171 44200 44471 44648 44650 44672 44685 45051 45285 45380 45766 45800 45855 45890 45922 46058 46121 46316 46343 46394 46421 46429 46437 46462 46557 46771 46873 47000 47125 47133 47154 47167-47168 47186 47307 47310 47330 47435 47449 47456 47476 47482 47681 47717 48005 48076 48082 48111 48114 48117 48165 48169 48178 48327 48338 48353 48358 48364 48501 48521 48604 48674 48727 48729 48747 48803 48945 491031.9867573869263685e-19 3.916500758235022e-19https://cdsarc.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/moc/J/A+A/709/A60?format=asciiOpticaldefaultJ/A+A/709/A60/tablea1Spectroscopic and general parameters of the studied systemsrecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintNamePlanet namemeta.id;meta.maincharPorbOrbital perioddtime.perioddoubleK? Radial velocity amplitudem/sspect.dopplerVelocdoublenullablei? Inclination of the orbitdegsrc.orbital.inclinationfloatnullableMpPlanets mass(1.898187x10+27kg)phys.massdoubleaRSemimajor axis in host radiiphys.angSize.smajAxisdoublerprsPlanet to star radius ratiophys.size.radius;arith.ratiodoubleDiscDiscovery yeartime.epochTefflEffective temperature of the host from literatureKphys.temperature.effectiveinte_TefflUncertainty of effective temperature of the host from literatureKstat.errorintlogglLogarithm of stellar gravity from literaturephys.gravityfloate_logglUncertainty of stellar gravity from literaturestat.errorfloatSimbadNameSimbad column added by the CDSmeta.idcharnullable[Fe/H]lMetallicity from literaturephys.abund.Fefloate_[Fe/H]lUncertainty of metallicity from literaturestat.error;phys.abund.FefloatPlxGaia parallaxmaspos.parallaxfloate_PlxUncertainty of Gaia parallaxmasstat.error;pos.parallaxdoubleGmagMagnitude in Gaia G filtermagphot.mag;em.optdoublee_GmagUncertainty of magnitude in Gaia G filtermagstat.error;phot.magdoubleRPmagMagnitude in Gaia RP filtermagphot.mag;em.opt.Rdoublee_RPmagUncertainty of magnitude in Gaia RP filtermagstat.error;phot.magdoubleBPmagMagnitude in Gaia BP filtermagphot.mag;em.opt.Bdoublee_BPmagUncertainty of magnitude in Gaia BP filtermagstat.error;phot.magdoubleSourceLiterature source of spectroscopic data from SWEETCAT, https://sweetcat.iastro.ptmeta.bibchar_RARight Ascension (J2000) from SIMBAD (not part of the original data)degpos.eq.ra;meta.main_DEDeclination (J2000) from SIMBAD (not part of the original data)degpos.eq.dec;meta.mainJ/A+A/709/A60/tablea2Results of the isochrones fitsrecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintNamePlanet namemeta.id;meta.maincharlogAgeLogarithm of the age of the host starlog(yr)time.agedoublee_logAgeLower uncertainty of logarithm of the age of the host starlog(yr)stat.error;time.agedoubleE_logAgeUpper uncertainty of logarithm of the age of the host starlog(yr)stat.error;stat.maxdoubleMassMass of the host starsolMassphys.massdoublee_MassLower uncertainty of mass of the host starsolMassstat.error;phys.massdoubleE_MassUpper uncertainty of mass of the host starsolMassstat.error;stat.maxdoubleRRadius of the host starsolRadphys.size.radiusdoublee_RLower uncertainty of radius of the host starsolRadstat.errordoubleE_RUpper uncertainty of radius of the host starsolRadstat.error;stat.maxdouble[Fe/H]Metallicityphys.abund.Zdoublee_[Fe/H]Lower uncertainty of metallicitystat.error;phys.abund.FedoubleE_[Fe/H]Upper uncertainty of metallicitystat.error;stat.maxdoubleTeffEffective temperature of the hostKphys.temperature.effectivedoublee_TeffLower uncertainty of effective temperature of the hostKstat.error;phys.temperature.effectivedoubleE_TeffUpper uncertainty of effective temperature of the hostKstat.error;stat.maxdoubleloggStellar gravitylog(cm.s**-2)phys.gravitydoublee_loggLower uncertainty of stellar gravitylog(cm.s**-2)stat.errordoubleE_loggUpper uncertainty of stellar gravitylog(cm.s**-2)stat.error;stat.maxdoubleeepEquivalent evolutionary pointstat.fit.paramdoublee_eepLower uncertainty of equivalent evolutionary pointstat.errordoubleE_eepUpper uncertainty of equivalent evolutionary pointstat.error;stat.maxdoubleJ/A+A/709/A60/tablea3Wave breaking predictionsrecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintNamePlanet namemeta.id;meta.maincharNoutNumber of realisations out of 100 that fell outside of the MESA gridmeta.numberintNotesNotes about predictionsmeta.notecharQ? Reduced tidal quality factorarith.factordoublenullablee_Q? Lower uncertainty of reduced tidal quality factorstat.errordoublenullableE_Q? Upper uncertainty of reduced tidal quality factorstat.error;stat.maxdoublenullableMcritProbability of wave breakingstat.fit.goodnessdoubleTshift2025? Shift in central transit times by 2025stime.epochdoublenullablee_Tshift2025? Lower uncertainty of shift in central transit times by 2025sstat.errordoublenullableE_Tshift2025? Upper uncertainty of shift in central transit times by 2025sstat.error;stat.maxdoublenullableTshift5min? Predicted year when the cumulative shift reaches 5 minutesyrtime.epochdoublenullablee_Tshift5min? Lower uncertainty of predicted year when the cumulative shift reaches 5 minutesyrstat.errordoublenullableE_Tshift5min? Upper uncertainty of predicted year when the cumulative shift reaches 5 minutesyrstat.error;stat.maxdoublenullablePdot? Orbital period changems/yrarith.rate;time.perioddoublenullablee_Pdot? Lower uncertainty of orbital period changems/yrstat.errordoublenullableE_Pdot? Upper uncertainty of orbital period changems/yrstat.error;stat.maxdoublenullablelogAgedest? Logarithm of the age of destructionlog(yr)time.agedoublenullablee_logAgedest? Lower uncertainty of logarithm of the age of destructionlog(yr)stat.errordoublenullableE_logAgedest? Upper uncertainty of logarithm of the age of destructionlog(yr)stat.error;stat.maxdoublenullableeepdest? Equivalent evolutionary point of destructionstat.fit.paramdoublenullablee_eepdest? Lower uncertainty of equivalent evolutionary point of destructionstat.errordoublenullableE_eepdest? Upper uncertainty of equivalent evolutionary point of destructionstat.error;stat.maxdoublenullable