J/ApJ/795/105ivo://CDS.VizieR/J/ApJ/795/105doi:10.26093/cds/vizier.17950105CDSSinger L.P.Price L.R.Farr B.Urban A.L.Pankow C.Vitale S.,Veitch J.Farr W.M.Hanna C.Cannon K.Downes T.Graff P.,Haster C.-J.Mandel I.Sidery T.Vecchio A.2017-07-18T15:23:06Z2017-05-31T14:59:06ZCDS support team

CDS, Observatoire de Strasbourg, 11 rue de l'Universite, F-67000 Strasbourg, France

cds-question@unistra.frmultiple-starspolarimetrystellar-distancestellar-massessurveysinterferometryWe anticipate the first direct detections of gravitational waves (GWs) with Advanced LIGO and Virgo later this decade. Though this groundbreaking technical achievement will be its own reward, a still greater prize could be observations of compact binary mergers in both gravitational and electromagnetic channels simultaneously. During Advanced LIGO and Virgo's first two years of operation, 2015 through 2016, we expect the global GW detector array to improve in sensitivity and livetime and expand from two to three detectors. We model the detection rate and the sky localization accuracy for binary neutron star (BNS) mergers across this transition. We have analyzed a large, astrophysically motivated source population using real-time detection and sky localization codes and higher-latency parameter estimation codes that have been expressly built for operation in the Advanced LIGO/Virgo era. We show that for most BNS events, the rapid sky localization, available about a minute after a detection, is as accurate as the full parameter estimation. We demonstrate that Advanced Virgo will play an important role in sky localization, even though it is anticipated to come online with only one-third as much sensitivity as the Advanced LIGO detectors. We find that the median 90% confidence region shrinks from ~500 deg^2^ in 2015 to ~200 deg^2^ in 2016. A few distinct scenarios for the first LIGO/Virgo detections emerge from our simulations.2014ApJ...795..105Shttps://cdsarc.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/cat/J/ApJ/795/105CatalogResearchIsServedByTAP VizieR generic serviceIsServedByConesearch servicerelated-toJ/ApJ/760/12 : LIGO/Virgo gravitational-wave (GW) bursts with GRBsJ/ApJ/804/114 : Parameter-estimation performance with LIGO (Berry+, 2015)J/ApJ/813/39 : LIGO gravitational-wave (GW) searches from SNRs (Aasi+, 2015)https://cds.unistra.fr/vizier-org/licences_vizier.htmlhttps://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/ApJ/795/105https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/ApJ/795/105http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/VizieR-2?-source=J/ApJ/795/105https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/ApJ/795/105https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/ApJ/795/105http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/votable?-source=J/ApJ/795/105GETtext/xml+votablehttps://tapvizier.cds.unistra.fr/TAPVizieR/tapCone search capability for table J/ApJ/795/105/table2 (Simulated BNS signals for 2015 scenario)https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJ/795/105/table2?https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJ/795/105/table2?http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJ/795/105/table2?GETtext/xml+votable180.050000true216.4-77.70.005555555555555556Cone search capability for table J/ApJ/795/105/table4 (Simulated BNS signals for 2016 scenario)https://vizier.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJ/795/105/table4?https://vizier.iucaa.in/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJ/795/105/table4?http://vizieridia.saao.ac.za/viz-bin/conesearch/J/ApJ/795/105/table4?GETtext/xml+votable180.050000true196.5-26.00.0055555555555555566/20 196 222 392 441 470 516 733 762 900 954 1013 1039 1182 1277 1397 1424 1546 1628 1647 1664 1691 1704 1766 1810 1844 1883 2238 2243 2366 2528 2590 2788 2866 2945 2990 3012 3030 3046 3121 3130 3133 3185 3203 3294 3367 3397 3432 3450 3473 3527 3529 3554 3675 3693 3784 3790 3845 3979 3997 4016 4175 4197 4210 4327 4387 4480 4706 4757 4795 4831 4871 4941 4976 5004 5016 5043 5132 5280 5295 5332 5400 5439 5447 5454 5490 5579 5848 5903 5969 5997 6034 6234 6290 6294 6313 6389 6399 6435 6558 6571 6717 7037 7043 7108 7119 7160 7197 7267 7320 7373 7481 7524 7534 7604 7613 7621 7662 7668 7686 7718 7726 7804 7856 7977 7981 7986 8083 8260 8307 8371 8400 8733 8735 8768 8781 8925 9029 9116 9126 9202 9209 9273 9284 9433 9449 9538 9594 9668 9706 9772 9850 9908 9940 9958 9973 10081 10095 10228 10230 10351 10538 10550 10772 10833 10856 10859 10907 10927 10929 11132 11156 11218 11232 11302 11321 11361 11381 11395 11601 11679 11889 11922 12025 12174 12209 12413 12449 12635 12734 12799 12835 12858 12861 12862 12873 12954 13007 13042 13081 13297 13349 13460 13482 13514 13675 13677 13744 13824 13841 13868 14053 14132 14184 14221 14271 14305 14318 14391 14550 14663 14887 14945 14969 14978 15173 15174 15221 15251 15380 15403 15432 15449 15481 15535 15580 15587 15629 15726 15758 15815 15836 15869 15938 15940 16008 16036 16296 16372 16446 16731 16843 16882 16957 16980 17046 17103 17148 17152 17318 17321 17350 17358 17448 17467 17480 17487 17566 17984 18037 18320 18390 18432 18467 18643 18669 18766 18808 18820 19120 19129 19157 19211 19357 19559 19640 19728 19739 19897 19898 19972 19980 20021 20075 20108 20110 20141 20239 20260 20299 20468 20480 20564 20571 20632 20659 20727 20762 20834 20879 20883 21001 21006 21061 21315 21475 21574 21604 21617 21700 21704 21720 21746 21762 21932 22038 22343 22506 22550 22625 22664 22718 22789 22849 22862 22872 22949 23002 23032 23037 23052 23191 23214 23340 23369 23415 23496 23854 23859 23876 23881 23911 23914 23950 24059 24165 24196 24304 24409 24534 24854 24867 24970 25024 25111 25125 25196 25221 25223 25473 25689 25714 26033 26236 26283 26430 26452 26606 26648 26729 26735 26922 27063 27135 27170 27184 27198 27269 27293 27313 27340 27369 27407 27417 27517 27683 27718 27793 27819 27920 27945 27986 28020 28074 28108 28341 28580 28680 28820 28849 28901 28926 28994 29010 29023 29081 29154 29322 29438 29513 29630 29661 29743 29788 29841 29908 30339 30450 30496 30622 30645 30686 30803 30952 31178 31204 31296 31349 31365 31491 31581 31954 31986 32127 32154 32611 32631 32731 32735 32741 32751 32769 32783 32793 32800 33002 33127 33134 33220 33264 33275 33296 33366 33404 33416 33446 33490 33510 33547 33755 33794 33837 33957 34066 34088 34115 34167 34188 34209 34519 34660 34800 34860 35042 35098 35122 35180 35222 35327 35415 35458 35528 35529 35558 35614 35820 35873 35923 36049 36087 36208 36373 36441 36510 36542 36755 36953 36956 36966 37177 37243 37341 37433 37450 37479 37654 37755 37775 37924 37934 38009 38033 38250 38353 38363 38387 38399 38418 38449 38453 38462 38496 38575 38651 38673 38780 38873 39182 39217 39241 39305 39355 39366 39379 39472 39496 39573 39576 39619 39660 39786 39897 39900 39921 39993 40048 40157 40173 40200 40316 40333 40521 40537 40728 40781 40858 40904 40943 41008 41026 41116 41235 41343 41369 41373 41404 41419 41420 41466 41670 41719 41781 41797 41820 41919 41925 41994 42141 42247 42627 42641 42695 42700 42730 42749 42792 42819 42841 42846 42853 42891 43048 43053 43093 43224 43299 43366 43420 43566 43620 43654 43678 43803 43845 43966 43986 44017 44114 44145 44447 44492 44539 44568 44753 44755 44832 44898 44923 44946 44976 45017 45076 45161 45200 45235 45395 45426 45434 45439 45478 45480 45512 45521 45581 45631 45662 45831 45887 46107 46121 46124 46194 46209 46290 46355 46438 46622 46710 46722 46739 46758 46892 47008 47090 47100 47110 47126 47187 47208 47209 47258 47406 47490 47631 47659 47745 47817 48105 48113 48213 48431 48437 48503 48645 48673 48679 48759 48766 48767 48826 48929 48961https://cdsarc.cds.unistra.fr/viz-bin/moc/J/ApJ/795/105?format=asciidefaultJ/ApJ/795/105/table2Simulated BNS signals for 2015 scenariodIDDetection ID (G1)meta.id;meta.maincharrecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintsIDSimulation ID (G2)meta.idintMJDMJD of simulated signal (3)dstat.snr;time.epochdoubleRAJ2000Right Ascension; decimal degrees (J2000)degpos.eq.ra;meta.mainDEJ2000Declination; decimal degrees (J2000)degpos.eq.dec;meta.mainIncBinary orbital inclination angledegsrc.orbital.inclinationintPA[] Polarization angle (4)degpos.posAng;phys.polarizationintPhaseOrbital phase at coalescencedegtime.phaseintDistDistanceMpcpos.distanceintMass1Mass of binary component 1solMassphys.massfloatMass2Mass of binary component 2solMassphys.massfloatSpin1xSpin of binary component 1, x-axisstat.paramfloatSpin1ySpin of binary component 1, y-axisstat.paramfloatSpin1zSpin of binary component 1, z-axisstat.paramfloatSpin2xSpin of binary component 2, x-axisstat.paramfloatSpin2ySpin of binary component 2, y-axisstat.paramfloatSpin2zSpin of binary component 2, z-axisstat.paramfloatJ/ApJ/795/105/table3Detections and sky localization areas for 2015 scenariorecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintdIDDetection ID (G1)meta.id;meta.maincharsIDSimulation ID (G2)meta.idintnetworkDetector networkmeta.id;instrcharSNR-netNetwork signal-to-noise ratiostat.snrfloatSNR-H? Signal-to-noise ratio in H (3)stat.snrfloatnullableSNR-L? Signal-to-noise ratio in L (3)stat.snrfloatnullableSNR-V? Signal-to-noise ratio in V (only in table5.dat) (3)stat.snr;pos.cartesian.yfloatnullableMass1Recovered mass 1solMassphys.massfloatMass2Recovered mass 2solMassphys.massfloatArea5050% area, BAYESTARdeg**2phys.angSizefloatArea9090% area, BAYESTARdeg**2phys.angSizefloatAreaSearched area, BAYESTARdeg**2phys.angSizedoublepe-area50? 50% area, LALINFERENCE_NESTdeg**2phys.angSizefloatnullablepe-area90? 90% area, LALINFERENCE_NESTdeg**2phys.angSizedoublenullablepe-area? Searched area, LALINFERENCE_NESTdeg**2phys.angSizedoublenullableJ/ApJ/795/105/table4Simulated BNS signals for 2016 scenarioPA[] Polarization angle (4)degpos.posAng;phys.polarizationintsIDSimulation ID (G2)meta.idintrecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintdIDDetection ID (G1)meta.id;meta.maincharMJDMJD of simulated signal (3)dstat.snr;time.epochdoubleRAJ2000Right Ascension; decimal degrees (J2000)degpos.eq.ra;meta.mainDEJ2000Declination; decimal degrees (J2000)degpos.eq.dec;meta.mainIncBinary orbital inclination angledegsrc.orbital.inclinationintPhaseOrbital phase at coalescencedegtime.phaseintDistDistanceMpcpos.distanceintMass1Mass of binary component 1solMassphys.massfloatMass2Mass of binary component 2solMassphys.massfloatSpin1xSpin of binary component 1, x-axisstat.paramfloatSpin1ySpin of binary component 1, y-axisstat.paramfloatSpin1zSpin of binary component 1, z-axisstat.paramfloatSpin2xSpin of binary component 2, x-axisstat.paramfloatSpin2ySpin of binary component 2, y-axisstat.paramfloatSpin2zSpin of binary component 2, z-axisstat.paramfloatJ/ApJ/795/105/table5Detections and sky localization areas for 2016 scenariorecnoRecord number assigned by the VizieR team. Should Not be used for identification.meta.recordintdIDDetection ID (G1)meta.id;meta.maincharsIDSimulation ID (G2)meta.idintnetworkDetector networkmeta.id;instrcharSNR-netNetwork signal-to-noise ratiostat.snrfloatSNR-H? Signal-to-noise ratio in H (3)stat.snrfloatnullableSNR-L? Signal-to-noise ratio in L (3)stat.snrfloatnullableSNR-V? Signal-to-noise ratio in V (only in table5.dat) (3)stat.snr;pos.cartesian.yfloatnullableMass1Recovered mass 1solMassphys.massfloatMass2Recovered mass 2solMassphys.massfloatArea5050% area, BAYESTARdeg**2phys.angSizefloatArea9090% area, BAYESTARdeg**2phys.angSizefloatAreaSearched area, BAYESTARdeg**2phys.angSizedoublepe-area50? 50% area, LALINFERENCE_NESTdeg**2phys.angSizefloatnullablepe-area90? 90% area, LALINFERENCE_NESTdeg**2phys.angSizedoublenullablepe-area? Searched area, LALINFERENCE_NESTdeg**2phys.angSizedoublenullable